CuratedBets
StaleThis wager · last observed Oct 11 · 12:19 PM ET · 11d ago Sportsbook
Exact prop intelligence
Kyler Murray · Anytime Touchdown
Yes
First observed
+410
Wed 07 Oct · 14:29Z
Last observed Stale
+500
Oct 11 · 12:19 PM ET · 11d ago
Final pregame
+500
observed 40m before kickoff
Movementprice moved
+410 → +500
Implied probability19.6% → 16.7% · -2.9 pp

Implied probability is the break-even chance this price pays for, margin included. It is not a vig-free or fair probability.

+500
Latest observation
Sun 11 Oct · 16:19Z
+490
Observed change
Sun 11 Oct · 15:30Z
+500
Observed change
Sat 10 Oct · 23:01Z
+490
Observed change
Fri 09 Oct · 21:22Z
+480
Observed change
Fri 09 Oct · 15:02Z
+470
Observed change
Fri 09 Oct · 13:57Z
+480
Observed change
Fri 09 Oct · 10:12Z
+470
Observed change
Thu 08 Oct · 21:37Z
+430
Observed change
Wed 07 Oct · 15:00Z
+410
First observed
Wed 07 Oct · 14:29Z
Availability
Recorded changes
9
Status
Available
Last changed
Sun 11 Oct · 16:19Z · 11d ago
Last observed
Sun 11 Oct · 16:19Z · 11d ago

First observed is the earliest state CuratedBets recorded for this exact wager, not the book's first price. Last changed is the most recent time price, line or availability changed. Last observed is the most recent time this exact wager was seen on the sportsbook page, changed or unchanged, and it is the one the freshness label above reads. A re-read that finds no change is never counted as movement.

Intelligence layersSportsbook layer active
Sportsbook statemovement tracked
Source attentionNot yet tracked for this wager
Context & discussionNot yet tracked
Outcome & source performanceAfter final

First observed is the earliest state CuratedBets recorded for this exact wager — not the sportsbook's first price. Last changed is the most recent time price, line or availability changed; last observed is the most recent time this exact wager was seen on the sportsbook page, changed or unchanged — the badge above reads that clock, because it says when we last saw this market rather than when it last moved. Observation times reflect the latest successful capture; CuratedBets is not a live feed. Final pregame appears only once kickoff has passed and is the last state we observed, with its lead time shown beside it.