Availability
Current status
3WR 1TE
CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago
Exact-Prop Mentions
Attention
0 captured statements
Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Opportunity
Role and opportunity
How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.
4 metrics below the coverage floor
- Snap share — Observed in 3 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Red-zone carries — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Goal-line carries — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Rush share — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
Exact-Line History
History at this line
Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.
No prop selected
Exact-line history is computed for one selected prop at a time.
Recent Games
Last 5 games
The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Snaps | Carries | Rush yds | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs DAL | — | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Oct 11 | vs CHI | — | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @ TB | 17 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| Sep 24 | vs ATL | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| Sep 20 | @ NYJ | 16 | 8 | 32 | 0 |
Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.
Matchup
Matchup context
What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.
Opponent defensive structure · NO
3407 charted plays across 5 games
407 charted plays across 5 games
407 charted plays across 5 games
Observed over 407 charted plays across 5 charted games · Last 5 charted games · 2025. CuratedBets does not yet have usable charted defensive plays from this season, so this uses the most recent charted games available before kickoff — historical context, not a description of how this defence is playing this season. These are recorded distributions for this defence. They are not a rating, not a comparison against other defences, and they carry no side.
Context
Source Context
Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.
Player context
Matchup
Player contextGreen Bay ranked 31st in rushing EPA (-18.2); 45.8% of its possessions failed to gain a first down (league-high; league average 29.7%), and it converted 19% of third downs (4 of 21), league-low through two weeks, after ranking second in 2025 at 48.8%.
Lineup
Player contextJohnson was already cutting into Lloyd’s rushing opportunities.
Usage Workload
Player contextJohnson played 14 snaps and had 8 touches (all runs) for 32 yards; he also fumbled Sunday.
Context
Player contextMarket-adjusted projection: 26.79 rushing yards against a 34.5 line; similar model calls have hit only 51% of the time.
Context
Player contextMarket-adjusted projection: 7.54 carries against a 9.5 line; similar model calls have hit 54% of the time.
Results
What happened
No result yet
Results appear after the game is final.