Availability
Current status
3WR 1TE
CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago
Exact-Prop Mentions
Attention
1 captured statement
First captured source 10:54 PM ET
Only one captured source has picked this exact prop so far.
First mention 17h 30m before kickoff
Show the full chronology
- 4:25 PM ET Kickoff
Sportsbook captures and source statements in the order they were recorded. Their order is a fact; it is not evidence that either caused the other.
Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Opportunity
Role and opportunity
How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.
3 metrics below the coverage floor
- Snap share — Observed in 2 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Target share — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Red-zone targets — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
Exact-Line History
History at 20.5
Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.
1 of 5 above
5 graded · sample: limited
4 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
19 of 48 above
48 graded · sample: substantial
6 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
2 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
1 of 1 above
1 graded · sample: insufficient
20.5 is 11.5 above the Last 5 median of 9.
Sample strength reflects the number of graded games only, never how lopsided the record is. Where a line is stated as a distance from a median, that is the difference between two numbers — not a statement that the line is favourable, soft or mispriced. This history spans more than one club; the values are the player’s own and are not all from his current team.
View historical detail
Assessed history
7Additional historical context
-
Weak historical evidence Last 10
4 of 10 above 20.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Season
1 of 5 above 20.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- The pattern holds across the sample
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Last 5
1 of 5 above 20.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- The pattern holds across the sample
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Last 3
0 of 3 above 20.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- The pattern holds across the sample
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Away
8 of 25 above 20.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Home
11 of 23 above 20.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Vs opponent
1 of 1 above 20.5
Why no historical lean?
- Based on a single game
- Values sit close to the line
- Per-game values not available
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
Bands describe the EVIDENCE, not the bet.
Facts shown without a strength band
- Advanced Performance — No comparison cohort exists for these metrics, so how substantial they are cannot be established from stored data.
Recorded values
489 median 8.3 average 0–16
16 0 9
Finished above 20.5 in 0 of 3.
9 median 12.2 average 0–27
27 9 16 0 9
Finished above 20.5 in 1 of 5.
12.5 median 18.7 average 0–49
30 47 0 0 49 27 9 16 0 9
Finished above 20.5 in 4 of 10.
Splits
- Season N=5 median 9
- Home N=23 median 18
- Away N=25 median 13
- Vs opponent N=1 27
Every split shows the games behind it. A split with a small sample is reported as those games rather than as an average of them.
- Red-zone targets 0.4 N=5
Advanced, last 5
- Receiving EPA -0.38 N=4
- Air yards 37.6 N=5
- Yards after catch 2.8 N=5
Game statistics: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical archive, not a live official feed). Averages, medians and counts: CuratedBets calculation.
Windows running the other way
1At this exact line, 2 over / 8 under / 0 push across 10 graded games.
Exact-line factual history
These are the same recorded windows shown above, selected because their direction runs against the side of the selected prop. CuratedBets does not construct an opposing argument when none exists in the data, and a window that runs the other way is history, not a reason to take the other side.
Recent Games
Last 5 games
The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Snaps | Targets | Rec | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs BUF | — | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| Oct 4 | vs KC | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 27 | @ NO | — | 3 | 1 | 16 |
| Sep 20 | @ LAC | 38 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
| Sep 13 | vs MIA | — | 5 | 3 | 27 |
Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.
Matchup
Matchup context
What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.
Opponent defensive structure · MIA
3387 charted plays across 5 games
387 charted plays across 5 games
387 charted plays across 5 games
Observed over 387 charted plays across 5 charted games · Last 5 charted games · 2025. CuratedBets does not yet have usable charted defensive plays from this season, so this uses the most recent charted games available before kickoff — historical context, not a description of how this defence is playing this season. These are recorded distributions for this defence. They are not a rating, not a comparison against other defences, and they carry no side.
Context
Source Context
Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.
No source context has been recorded for this player yet.
Results
What happened
over20.5Receiving Yards
27
winGraded Oct 5, 17:17 UTC