33
1 game(s) carried no value
Player Intelligence
RB ·Jacksonville Jaguars ·JAX vs PHI ·Sun Oct 11, 9:30 AM ET
vs PHI · Sun Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET
1 Captured source · rank 1 of 1 No book line observedAvailability
Special Teams
CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago
Exact-Prop Mentions
2 captured statements
First captured source 11:49 PM ET
Only one captured source has picked this exact prop so far.
First mention 9h 40m before kickoff
None of these counts toward the attention figure above. A source who leans, fades or passes has not picked this prop.
Sportsbook captures and source statements in the order they were recorded. Their order is a fact; it is not evidence that either caused the other.
Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Opportunity
How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.
Exact-Line History
Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.
3 of 5 above
5 graded · sample: limited
4 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
4 of 6 above
6 graded · sample: moderate
5 of 21 above
21 graded · sample: substantial
1 of 8 above
8 graded · sample: moderate
1 of 1 above
1 graded · sample: insufficient
14.5 is 0.5 below the Last 5 median of 15.
Sample strength reflects the number of graded games only, never how lopsided the record is. Where a line is stated as a distance from a median, that is the difference between two numbers — not a statement that the line is favourable, soft or mispriced.
Counter historical context
1 of 8 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
3 of 11 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
Additional historical context
4 of 10 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
3 of 4 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
3 of 5 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
2 of 3 above 14.5
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
Bands describe the EVIDENCE, not the bet.
15 median 15 average 13–17
13 15 17
Finished above 14.5 in 2 of 3.
15 median 13 average 5–17
5 15 13 15 17
Finished above 14.5 in 3 of 5.
10.5 median 9.8 average 1–17
15 7 8 2 1 5 15 13 15 17
Finished above 14.5 in 4 of 10.
Splits
Every split shows the games behind it. A split with a small sample is reported as those games rather than as an average of them.
Advanced, last 5
Upcoming rest: 7 days · prior games on 7 days’ rest: N=13
Exact days between games. CuratedBets defines no short/standard/extended rest categories, so none is applied here.
Game statistics: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical archive, not a live official feed). Averages, medians and counts: CuratedBets calculation.
No sportsbook price was captured at this exact line. No matching CuratedBets sportsbook observation captured for over14.5Rush Attempts . A nearby line is a different prop and is not shown in its place.
These are records of what CuratedBets observed and when. They are not an opening line, not a closing line, not a live price and not a recommendation. CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
At this exact line, 5 over / 16 under / 0 push across 21 graded games.
Exact-line factual history
These are the same recorded windows shown above, selected because their direction runs against the side of the selected prop. CuratedBets does not construct an opposing argument when none exists in the data, and a window that runs the other way is history, not a reason to take the other side.
Recent Games
The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Snaps | Carries | Rush yds | Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs HOU | — | 12 | 39 | 4 |
| Oct 11 | vs PHI | — | 22 | 72 | 3 |
| Oct 4 | @ CIN | 36 | 17 | 73 | 2 |
| Sep 27 | vs NE | — | 15 | 73 | 2 |
| Sep 20 | @ DEN | 30 | 13 | 65 | 2 |
Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.
Matchup
What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.
362 charted plays across 5 games
362 charted plays across 5 games
362 charted plays across 5 games
Observed over 362 charted plays across 5 charted games · Last 5 charted games · 2025. CuratedBets does not yet have usable charted defensive plays from this season, so this uses the most recent charted games available before kickoff — historical context, not a description of how this defence is playing this season. These are recorded distributions for this defence. They are not a rating, not a comparison against other defences, and they carry no side.
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
A defence qualifies when enough of these families are charted for both teams and the observed distributions are close enough to compare. How close is measured internally and is not published: it describes how alike two defences have looked, and it is never a probability, a price or an expected outcome.
Availability — 1 further observation recorded here is not in a form this page can display. They are counted in Evidence and method.
33
1 game(s) carried no value
15
17
7 days
Outdoor_confirmed · grass
Altitude data unavailable
Home
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
5 hours
6366.78 km
Weather not reported
Not recorded in the source data.
Liam Coen
4 games observed · 2026
this coach name has more than one stint here, so the name is carrying more than it can
Data unavailable
Offensive coordinator · Defensive coordinator · Play caller
Not recorded in the source data.
Each line names a missing input, not a judgement. “Nothing on record” is not a finding of full health, an unchanged unit, or an ordinary week.
A distribution whose top category holds the whole sample is one charted style observed, not a tendency. Charting depth varies by game and the play count is stated on every card.
Context
Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.
No source context has been recorded for this player yet.
Results
over14.5Rush Attempts
22
winGraded Oct 12, 04:10 UTC
Method
How the football observations on this page group together, and which families had anything to say.
21 football observations 15 evidence groups 5 of 13 families with anything on record. Evidence groups help avoid counting multiple views of the same underlying information as separate signals.
21
15
3
5 of 13
Evidence groups help avoid counting multiple views of the same underlying information as separate signals. The largest group holds 3 readings of the same underlying evidence.
A group is a statement about how observations relate to one another. It is not a strength, a rating or a confidence, and a large number of groups is not a claim that the evidence is strong.
Every absence names a missing input rather than a judgement. Nothing on record is not a finding of zero. “Not displayable” means the observation exists and this page has no reader-facing wording for it yet; it is counted here rather than printed in the form the engine stored it.