Availability
Current status
3WR 1TE
CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago
Exact-Prop Mentions
Attention
1 captured statement
First captured source 3:07 PM ET
Only one captured source has picked this exact prop so far.
First mention 21h 52m before kickoff
Show the full chronology
- 8:09 PM ET Sportsbook 28.5 -114
- 5:37 PM ET Sportsbook 30.5 -113
- 12:31 PM ET Sportsbook 31.5 -113
- 1:00 PM ET Kickoff
Sportsbook captures and source statements in the order they were recorded. Their order is a fact; it is not evidence that either caused the other.
Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Opportunity
Role and opportunity
How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.
3 metrics below the coverage floor
- Snap share — Observed in 2 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Target share — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
- Red-zone targets — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
Exact-Line History
History at 28.5
Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.
3 of 5 above
5 graded · sample: limited
5 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
4 of 6 above
6 graded · sample: moderate
24 of 51 above
51 graded · sample: substantial
6 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
4 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
1 of 2 above
2 graded · sample: insufficient
28.5 is 3.5 below the Last 5 median of 32.
Sample strength reflects the number of graded games only, never how lopsided the record is. Where a line is stated as a distance from a median, that is the difference between two numbers — not a statement that the line is favourable, soft or mispriced. This history spans more than one club; the values are the player’s own and are not all from his current team.
View historical detail
Assessed history
7Additional historical context
-
Moderate historical context Season
4 of 6 above 28.5
Why moderate historical context?
- Meaningful difference from the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Away
9 of 25 above 28.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Vs opponent
1 of 2 above 28.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Small difference from the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Last 10
5 of 10 above 28.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Home
15 of 26 above 28.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Last 5
3 of 5 above 28.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Last 3
1 of 3 above 28.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
Bands describe the EVIDENCE, not the bet.
Facts shown without a strength band
- Advanced Performance — No comparison cohort exists for these metrics, so how substantial they are cannot be established from stored data.
Recorded values
5124 median 35 average 18–63
18 63 24
Finished above 28.5 in 1 of 3.
32 median 42.2 average 18–74
74 32 18 63 24
Finished above 28.5 in 3 of 5.
28 median 40.3 average 6–94
94 6 12 7 73 74 32 18 63 24
Finished above 28.5 in 5 of 10.
Splits
- Season N=6 median 47.5
- Home N=26 median 31
- Away N=25 median 19
- Vs opponent N=2 0 · 74
Every split shows the games behind it. A split with a small sample is reported as those games rather than as an average of them.
- Red-zone targets 0.4 N=5
Advanced, last 5
- Receiving EPA 2.46 N=5
- Air yards 68.2 N=5
- Yards after catch 11.2 N=5
Game statistics: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical archive, not a live official feed). Averages, medians and counts: CuratedBets calculation.
These are records of what CuratedBets observed and when. They are not an opening line, not a closing line, not a live price and not a recommendation. CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Recent Games
Last 5 games
The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Snaps | Targets | Rec | Rec yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs CAR | — | 4 | 2 | 24 |
| Oct 11 | @ JAX | — | 8 | 5 | 63 |
| Oct 4 | vs LA | 56 | 5 | 3 | 18 |
| Sep 28 | @ CHI | — | 5 | 2 | 32 |
| Sep 20 | @ TEN | 47 | 6 | 5 | 74 |
Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.
Matchup
Matchup context
What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.
Opponent defensive structure · TEN
3394 charted plays across 5 games
394 charted plays across 5 games
394 charted plays across 5 games
Observed over 394 charted plays across 5 charted games · Last 5 charted games · 2025. CuratedBets does not yet have usable charted defensive plays from this season, so this uses the most recent charted games available before kickoff — historical context, not a description of how this defence is playing this season. These are recorded distributions for this defence. They are not a rating, not a comparison against other defences, and they carry no side.
Context
Source Context
Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.
No source context has been recorded for this player yet.
Results
What happened
over28.5Receiving Yards
74
winGraded Oct 5, 17:17 UTC