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Kayshon Boutte

WR ·New England Patriots ·Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET

Selected prop over18.5Longest Reception

· Sun Sep 20 · 1:00 PM ET

1 Captured source · rank 1 of 1 No book line observed

Availability

Current status

Depth role WR4

3WR 1TE

CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago

Exact-Prop Mentions

Attention

1 Attention source

1 captured statement

Rank for this player 1 / 1
Attention timing

First captured source 6:10 PM ET

Only one captured source has picked this exact prop so far.

First mention 18h 49m before kickoff

Show the full chronology
  1. 1:00 PM ET Kickoff

Sportsbook captures and source statements in the order they were recorded. Their order is a fact; it is not evidence that either caused the other.

Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.

Opportunity

Role and opportunity

How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.

Targets 3.8
Receptions 2.6
Receiving yards 29.6
3 metrics below the coverage floor
  • Snap share — Observed in 2 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
  • Target share — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.
  • Red-zone targets — Observed in 0 of 5 games in this window — below the coverage floor CuratedBets requires before averaging. The games themselves are still on record.

Exact-Line History

History at 18.5

Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.

38 games on record
Last 5

3 of 4 above

4 graded · 1 ungraded · sample: limited

Last 10

4 of 8 above

8 graded · 2 ungraded · sample: moderate

Season

3 of 4 above

4 graded · 2 ungraded · sample: limited

Multi-season

18 of 34 above

34 graded · 4 ungraded · sample: substantial

Home

5 of 8 above

8 graded · 2 ungraded · sample: moderate

Away

5 of 9 above

9 graded · 1 ungraded · sample: moderate

18.5 is 2.5 below the Last 5 median of 21.

Sample strength reflects the number of graded games only, never how lopsided the record is. Where a line is stated as a distance from a median, that is the difference between two numbers — not a statement that the line is favourable, soft or mispriced. This history spans more than one club; the values are the player’s own and are not all from his current team.

View historical detail

Assessed history

6

Additional historical context

  • No historical lean Away

    7 of 17 above 18.5

    Sample: 17 games · median 16 / mean 17.8

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Driven by one or two outlying games
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Closely matched to this situation
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

  • No historical lean Home

    11 of 17 above 18.5

    Sample: 17 games · median 21 / mean 23.8

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Closely matched to this situation
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

  • No historical lean Last 10

    4 of 8 above 18.5

    Sample: 8 games · median 18.5 / mean 18.4

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Driven by one or two outlying games
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

  • No historical lean Season

    3 of 4 above 18.5

    Sample: 4 games · median 21 / mean 18.8 · Limited sample

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Driven by one or two outlying games
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

  • No historical lean Last 5

    3 of 4 above 18.5

    Sample: 4 games · median 21 / mean 18.8 · Limited sample

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Driven by one or two outlying games
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

  • No historical lean Last 3

    2 of 3 above 18.5

    Sample: 3 games · median 21 / mean 18 · Limited sample

    Why no historical lean?
    • Values sit close to the line
    • Directly relevant to this market
    • Current-season evidence
    • Official warehouse data

    Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)

Bands describe the EVIDENCE, not the bet.

Recorded values

38
Last 3 N=3

21 median 18 average 10–23

21 23 10

Finished above 18.5 in 2 of 3.

Last 5 N=4

21 median 18.8 average 10–23

21 21 23 10

Finished above 18.5 in 3 of 4.

1 game in this window has no recorded value for this statistic and is excluded — unknown, not zero.

Last 10 N=8

18.5 median 18.4 average 10–30

13 30 16 13 21 21 23 10

Finished above 18.5 in 4 of 8.

2 games in this window have no recorded value for this statistic and are excluded — unknown, not zero.

Splits

  • Season N=4 median 21
  • Home N=17 median 21
  • Away N=17 median 16

Every split shows the games behind it. A split with a small sample is reported as those games rather than as an average of them.

Game statistics: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical archive, not a live official feed). Averages, medians and counts: CuratedBets calculation.

Sportsbook markets

14 markets · 40 priced wagers
MarketLatest observedFirst observedMovementAlternatesAttentionObserved
Rushing1
Rush + Receiving Touchdowns
Threshold props1 threshold, each its own wager
—
Per line
change count unknown · last changed 32d ago
—
32d ago
Receiving3
Longest Reception
Threshold props4 thresholds, each its own wager
—
Per line
change count unknown · last changed 32d ago
—
32d ago
Receiving Yards
35.5 O-113 / U-113 Final37 OWin ULoss
32.5 O— / U—
32.5 → 35.5▲ +3
O -114 → -113 · U -114 → -113
2 line moves · last changed 32d ago
History
—
32d ago
Receptions
2.5 O-172 / U+128 Final3 OWin ULoss
2.5 O-166 / U+124
Line unchanged
O -166 → -172 · U +124 → +128
change count unknown · last changed 32d ago
History
—
32d ago
Touchdowns10
Anytime Touchdown
Yes +290 one side only
Yes +330 one side only
Line unchanged
O +330 → +290
5 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 1st Half
Yes +550 one side only
Yes +650 one side only
Line unchanged
O +650 → +550
8 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 1st Quarter
Yes +1400 one side only
Yes +1600 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1600 → +1400
8 changes · last changed 34d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 2nd Half
Yes +550 one side only
Yes +650 one side only
Line unchanged
O +650 → +550
6 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 2nd Quarter
Yes +850 one side only
Yes +1000 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1000 → +850
8 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 3rd Quarter
Yes +1200 one side only
Yes +1400 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1400 → +1200
7 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Anytime Touchdown 4th Quarter
Yes +1000 one side only
Yes +1100 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1100 → +1000
5 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
First Team Touchdown Scorer
Yes +750 one side only
Yes +900 one side only
Line unchanged
O +900 → +750
6 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
First Touchdown Scorer
— +1600 one side only
— +1700 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1700 → +1600
6 changes · last changed 35d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Last Touchdown Scorer
— +1400 one side only
— +1600 one side only
Line unchanged
O +1600 → +1400
7 changes · last changed 32d ago
History
—
—
32d ago
Movement compares the latest observation with the first observation of each wager. A price change is shown as both observed prices; only a line change is shown as a delta. First observed is not the book's first price. Prices from Sportsbook observation

These are records of what CuratedBets observed and when. They are not an opening line, not a closing line, not a live price and not a recommendation. CuratedBets does not advise wagers.

Recent Games

Last 5 games

The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.

Date Opponent Snaps Targets Rec Rec yds
Oct 18 @ JAX — 3 2 16
Oct 11 @ TEN — 5 3 38
Oct 4 vs DAL 34 4 3 36
Sep 27 @ IND — 2 2 21
Sep 20 vs CIN 58 5 3 37

Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.

Matchup

Matchup context

What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.

Matchup context not available

The opposing team is not resolved for this game.

Context

Source Context

Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.

Published context

No source context has been recorded for this player yet.

Results

What happened

over18.5Longest Reception

21

win

Graded Oct 5, 17:17 UTC