Offensive snaps (Last 3)2 games
65
1 game(s) carried no value
Availability
Current status
Depth role
QB1
3WR 1TE
CuratedBets historical data · Aug 18 · 3:33 AM ET · Updated 65d ago
Exact-Prop Mentions
Attention
1
Attention source
2 captured statements
Rank for this player
1 / 1
Attention timing
First captured source 11:14 PM ET
Only one captured source has picked this exact prop so far.
First mention 21h 00m before kickoff
A time marked “recorded” is when CuratedBets captured the statement. The platform reported no publication time for it, and one is never estimated.
Additional source activity
- 1 contextual or unclassified — captured statements whose intent could not be established. Not counted as agreement of any kind.
None of these counts toward the attention figure above. A source who leans, fades or passes has not picked this prop.
Show the full chronology
- 1:29 PM ET Sportsbook 226.5 -113
- 12:23 PM ET Sportsbook 228.5 -113
- 2:37 PM ET Sportsbook 231.5 -113
- 6:53 PM ET xamsportshq mention recorded by CuratedBets
- 8:15 PM ET Kickoff
Sportsbook captures and source statements in the order they were recorded. Their order is a fact; it is not evidence that either caused the other.
Ranked by how many distinct sources hold an active tracked position on each exact prop. Captured statements that take no position (leans, fades and context) are quoted but never counted here. Attention is not a recommendation, and CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Opportunity
Role and opportunity
How much of this offence has actually run through him, whether that has moved, and how steady it has been. Per game, last 5 of 2026.
Pass attempts
36.8
Completions
22.8
Passing yards
259.4
Passing touchdowns
1.80
Rush attempts
2.0
Rushing yards
2.0
Sacks taken
1.8
Exact-Line History
History at 226.5
Every window below is computed at this exact line only, graded with the same engine that settles a real prop. Records at nearby lines are not mixed in. A balanced record is reported as neutral, not as a lean.
Last 5
3 of 5 above
5 graded · sample: limited
Last 10 · Home
7 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
Season
4 of 6 above
6 graded · sample: moderate
Multi-season
31 of 63 above
63 graded · sample: substantial
Away
5 of 10 above
10 graded · sample: substantial
Versus opponent
1 of 2 above
2 graded · sample: insufficient
226.5 is 7.5 below the Last 5 median of 234.
Sample strength reflects the number of graded games only, never how lopsided the record is. Where a line is stated as a distance from a median, that is the difference between two numbers — not a statement that the line is favourable, soft or mispriced.
View historical detail
Assessed history
7Additional historical context
-
Moderate historical context Away
12 of 32 above 226.5
Why moderate historical context?
- Large difference from the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Moderate historical context Last 3
1 of 3 above 226.5
Why moderate historical context?
- Large difference from the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Last 10
5 of 10 above 226.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Meaningful difference from the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Season
1 of 2 above 226.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Large difference from the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
Weak historical evidence Vs opponent
0 of 1 above 226.5
Why weak historical evidence?
- Based on a single game
- Large difference from the line
- Per-game values not available
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Home
16 of 27 above 226.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Driven by one or two outlying games
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Closely matched to this situation
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
-
No historical lean Last 5
3 of 5 above 226.5
Why no historical lean?
- Values sit close to the line
- Directly relevant to this market
- Current-season evidence
- Official warehouse data
Source: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical)
Bands describe the EVIDENCE, not the bet.
Facts shown without a strength band
- Advanced Performance — No comparison cohort exists for these metrics, so how substantial they are cannot be established from stored data.
- Rest History — Rest is recorded as exact day counts with no cohort of values for matching-rest games, so there is no magnitude to measure.
Recorded values
59
Last 3
N=3
145 median 203 average 77–387
77 387 145
Finished above 226.5 in 1 of 3.
Last 5
N=5
234 median 223.8 average 77–387
234 276 77 387 145
Finished above 226.5 in 3 of 5.
Last 10
N=10
205 median 211.5 average 77–387
273 176 174 139 234 234 276 77 387 145
Finished above 226.5 in 5 of 10.
Splits
- Season N=2 387 · 145
- Home N=27 median 234
- Away N=32 median 201
- Vs opponent N=1 151
Every split shows the games behind it. A split with a small sample is reported as those games rather than as an average of them.
Advanced, last 5
- Passing EPA 0.34 N=5
- Air yards 304.8 N=5
- Yards after catch 95.8 N=5
Upcoming rest: 4 days · prior games on 4 days’ rest: N=5
Exact days between games. CuratedBets defines no short/standard/extended rest categories, so none is applied here.
Game statistics: CuratedBets warehouse (nflverse historical archive, not a live official feed). Averages, medians and counts: CuratedBets calculation.
These are records of what CuratedBets observed and when. They are not an opening line, not a closing line, not a live price and not a recommendation. CuratedBets does not advise wagers.
Recent Games
Last 5 games
The individual games behind the averages above, most recent first. These are recorded results, not a trend and not a forecast. A blank cell means the statistic was not recorded for that game — it is not a zero.
| Date | Opponent | Snaps | Pass att | Pass yds | Rush att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vs DAL | — | 41 | 276 | 4 |
| Oct 11 | vs CHI | — | 31 | 367 | 1 |
| Oct 4 | @ TB | 60 | 30 | 197 | 4 |
| Sep 24 | vs ATL | 66 | 53 | 312 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | @ NYJ | 59 | 29 | 145 | 0 |
Regular season only. These are the games this player actually played, so a week he missed is absent rather than recorded as a zero.
Matchup
Matchup context
What this defence has been observed doing, and — when an exact prop is selected — the recorded interaction between these units and defences this player has already faced that are structurally similar to this week’s. These are observed distributions. They are not a claim that either side has the better of it.
Opponent defensive structure · ATL
3
Defensive personnel
3 CB, 1 DE, 2 DT, 1 FS, 2 ILB, 1 OLB, 1 SS 26%
394 charted plays across 5 games
Defenders in box
5.1 average
394 charted plays across 5 games
Pass rushers
2.2 average
394 charted plays across 5 games
Observed over 394 charted plays across 5 charted games · Last 5 charted games · 2025. CuratedBets does not yet have usable charted defensive plays from this season, so this uses the most recent charted games available before kickoff — historical context, not a description of how this defence is playing this season. These are recorded distributions for this defence. They are not a rating, not a comparison against other defences, and they carry no side.
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
View full matchup detail
Offensive scheme
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
Scheme interaction
Looked for, and nothing was on record.
How comparable defences were chosen
- Man / zone compared as a charted distribution
- Coverage shell compared as a charted distribution
- Defensive personnel compared as a charted distribution
- Defenders in box compared as a charted distribution
- Pass rushers compared as a charted distribution
A defence qualifies when enough of these families are charted for both teams and the observed distributions are close enough to compare. How close is measured internally and is not published: it describes how alike two defences have looked, and it is never a probability, a price or an expected outcome.
Availability
1Availability — 1 further observation recorded here is not in a form this page can display. They are counted in Evidence and method.
Rest and workload
3
Pass attempts (Last 3)3 games
42
3 games · average 39
1 further observation recorded here is not in a form this page can display. They are counted in Evidence and method.
Travel and environment
5
Venue1 game
Outdoor_confirmed · grass
Altitude data unavailable
Home / away1 game
Home
Lambeau Field
Time-zone shift1 game
1 hour
Travel1 game
1213.23 km
Conditions
Weather not reported
Not recorded in the source data.
Coaching context
2
Head coach tenure2 games
Matt LaFleur
2 games observed · 2026
this coach name has more than one stint here, so the name is carrying more than it can
Coordinator / play-caller
Data unavailable
Offensive coordinator · Defensive coordinator · Play caller
Not recorded in the source data.
- Replacement / redistribution Not available for this matchup.
- Unit configuration Not available for this matchup.
- Coach x scheme Looked for, and nothing was on record.
Each line names a missing input, not a judgement. “Nothing on record” is not a finding of full health, an unchanged unit, or an ordinary week.
A distribution whose top category holds the whole sample is one charted style observed, not a tendency. Charting depth varies by game and the play count is stated on every card.
Context
Source Context
Source-reported context relevant to this player and matchup.
Player context
Weather Park
Player contextThe Packers have their home debut at Lambeau Field tonight against the Falcons.
Matchup
Player contextThe Falcons secondary is depleted by injuries: cornerback AJ Terrell is out, Samson Ebukam is out, and cornerback Billy Bowman may also miss the game.
Weather Park
Player contextThe Packers were playing on the road in the rain.
News
Player contextThe Packers dealt with significant offensive line injuries, including Zach Bako-Bewele, who tore his patellar tendon.
Injury
Player contextJayden Reed left the game early in the 1st quarter.
Recent Form
Player contextLast week against the Jets, Jordan Love had 145 passing yards.
Recent Form
Player contextOn the season, Jordan Love is averaging 266 passing yards per game and completing 52.1% of his throws.
Matchup
Player contextAtlanta allowed Bryce Young 8.0 yards per pass attempt and 23.5 passing points last week.
Matchup
Player contextAtlanta ranked third in pressure rate at 43.4% despite an 18.5% blitz rate (29th); its pressure rate against Carolina last week was 46.2% (fifth).
Recent Form
Player contextWhen pressured to open the season, Love completed 33.3% (9 of 27) for 6.8 yards per attempt with an interception; his 42.8 rating ranked 26th through two games. Kept clean, he completed 63.6% (28 of 44) for 7.9 Y/A, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions; his 118.4 rating ranked 11th.
News
Player contextWith Bako-Bewele on the field in 2025, Love faced pressure on 37.3% of dropbacks versus 44% when he was off; interception rates were 1% vs. 2.1%, and sack rates were 3.2% vs. 7.2%.
Injury
Player contextRight tackle Zach Bako-Bewele will miss the season after a knee injury suffered after 3 snaps Sunday; guards Aaron Brooks (22 snaps) and Donovan Jennings (14 snaps) were also injured Sunday.
Recent Form
Player contextLove opened with QB11 and QB21 scoring weeks; he threw multiple touchdowns in both games, completed 50% and 55.2% of passes, and had a 21.1% inaccurate-throw rate through two weeks (only Malik Willis was higher at 22%).
Matchup
Player contextThe Falcons are giving up big chunk plays to WRs and TEs.
Matchup
Player contextThe Falcons gave up 3 passing TDs to Bryce Young against the Panthers.
News
Player contextThe run game is still not great without Jacobs.
Injury
Player contextReed is OUT; Golden, Kraft, and Smith are still in the offense.
Usage Workload
Player contextChristian Watson is Love’s top target and is a threat to score whenever he gets the ball.
Weather Park
Player contextThis is the Packers’ first home game.
Recent Form
Player contextJordan Love has thrown 2 TDs in each game this season.
Weather Park
Player contextThe Packers will be at home for the first time this season on Thursday.
Matchup
Player contextThe Falcons have allowed 239 passing yards per game.
Recent Form
Player contextJordan Love is averaging 244.5 passing yards through two games.
Recent Form
Player contextJordan Love has one of the league’s highest efficiency ratings against zone coverage, with a top-five EPA per play against zone.
Matchup
Player contextLast season, Atlanta ran zone coverage on around 75% of its defensive snaps, described as one of the league’s highest-volume zone defenses.
Injury
Player contextWith Reed out, Love had targets available in Golden, Watson, and Kraft.
Recent Form
Player contextLove went over this line in 16/22 healthy home games; when Watson and Kraft were available, he went over in 18/25 games.
Recent Form
Player contextAaron Rodgers (221) and Bryce Young (287) both went over their respective passing-yard lines against Atlanta.
Matchup
Player contextThrough two weeks, Green Bay had the fewest rushing yards per game, while Atlanta was allowing the fewest.
Results
What happened
over226.5Passing Yards
312
winGraded Oct 4, 23:23 UTC
How CuratedBets counts attention and evidence
Method
Evidence and method
How the football observations on this page group together, and which families had anything to say.
17 football observations 13 evidence groups 5 of 13 families with anything on record. Evidence groups help avoid counting multiple views of the same underlying information as separate signals.
How this page counts evidence
Observations
17
Evidence groups
13
Groups with a recorded overlap
2
Families with anything on record
5 of 13
Evidence groups help avoid counting multiple views of the same underlying information as separate signals. The largest group holds 3 readings of the same underlying evidence.
A group is a statement about how observations relate to one another. It is not a strength, a rating or a confidence, and a large number of groups is not a claim that the evidence is strong.
Family coverage for this prop
- Base role Looked for, and nothing was on record.
- Game-state role 6 observations · 6 not displayable
- Offensive scheme Looked for, and nothing was on record.
- Defensive scheme Looked for, and nothing was on record.
- Scheme interaction Looked for, and nothing was on record.
- Availability 1 observation · 1 not displayable
- Replacement / redistribution Not available for this matchup.
- Unit configuration Not available for this matchup.
- Rest and workload 3 observations · 1 not displayable
- Travel and environment 5 observations
- Coaching context 2 observations
- Coach x scheme Looked for, and nothing was on record.
Every absence names a missing input rather than a judgement. Nothing on record is not a finding of zero. “Not displayable” means the observation exists and this page has no reader-facing wording for it yet; it is counted here rather than printed in the form the engine stored it.