CuratedBets
StaleThis wager · last observed Sep 24 · 6:27 PM ET · 28d ago Sportsbook
Exact prop intelligence
Michael Penix Jr. · Passing Touchdowns
Over 0.5
First observed
-250
Mon 21 Sep · 17:29Z
Last observed Stale
-265
Sep 24 · 6:27 PM ET · 28d ago
Final pregame
-265
observed 1h 47m before kickoff
Result Final1 Win
Movementreturned to first observed
Implied probability71.4% → 72.6% · +1.2 pp

Implied probability is the break-even chance this price pays for, margin included. It is not a vig-free or fair probability.

-265 · line 0.5
Latest observation
Thu 24 Sep · 22:27Z
-260 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 18:37Z
-270 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 16:23Z
-265 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 14:27Z
-280 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 09:44Z
-270 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 02:03Z
-280 · line 0.5
Observed change
Thu 24 Sep · 00:30Z
-275 · line 0.5
Observed change
Wed 23 Sep · 15:57Z
-270 · line 0.5
Observed change
Tue 22 Sep · 22:27Z
-280 · line 0.5
Observed change
Mon 21 Sep · 23:16Z
-250 · line 0.5
First observed
Mon 21 Sep · 17:29Z
Availability
Recorded changes
10
Status
Available
Last changed
Thu 24 Sep · 22:27Z · 28d ago
Last observed
Thu 24 Sep · 22:27Z · 28d ago

First observed is the earliest state CuratedBets recorded for this exact wager, not the book's first price. Last changed is the most recent time price, line or availability changed. Last observed is the most recent time this exact wager was seen on the sportsbook page, changed or unchanged, and it is the one the freshness label above reads. A re-read that finds no change is never counted as movement.

Intelligence layersSportsbook layer active
Sportsbook statemovement tracked
Source attentionNot yet tracked for this wager
Context & discussionNot yet tracked
Outcome & source performanceAfter final

First observed is the earliest state CuratedBets recorded for this exact wager — not the sportsbook's first price. Last changed is the most recent time price, line or availability changed; last observed is the most recent time this exact wager was seen on the sportsbook page, changed or unchanged — the badge above reads that clock, because it says when we last saw this market rather than when it last moved. Observation times reflect the latest successful capture; CuratedBets is not a live feed. Final pregame appears only once kickoff has passed and is the last state we observed, with its lead time shown beside it.